Performance, Income & Risk Comparison Calculator
Annual income in the final year of investment period:
SCHD (Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF) is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index. It focuses on high-quality, dividend-paying U.S. stocks with a history of consistently paying dividends.
Treasury bonds are debt securities issued by the U.S. federal government with maturities ranging from 20 to 30 years. They pay a fixed rate of interest every six months until maturity, at which point the face value is returned to the bondholder.
Feature | SCHD | Treasury Bonds |
---|---|---|
Investment Type | Equity ETF (stocks) | Government Debt Securities |
Risk Level | Moderate (market risk) | Very Low (government backed) |
Current Yield | ~3.91% | ~4.48% - 4.63% (10-30 year) |
Income Growth | Growing dividends over time | Fixed interest payments |
Principal Growth | Potential for capital appreciation | No capital appreciation (face value at maturity) |
Volatility | Moderate to high (market fluctuations) | Low (price fluctuations if sold before maturity) |
Taxation | Qualified dividends (lower tax rates) | Interest exempt from state/local taxes |
Liquidity | Highly liquid (trades like a stock) | Moderate to high (can sell before maturity) |
Expense Ratio | 0.06% | None (if purchased directly) |
Inflation Protection | Potential dividend growth above inflation | None (fixed payments, vulnerable to inflation) |
Since SCHD's inception in October 2011, it has generally outperformed Treasury bonds in terms of total return. SCHD has delivered annualized returns of approximately 13.47%, while Treasury bonds have typically returned between 2-5% annually over the same period.
However, performance varies significantly depending on the time period and market conditions:
Both SCHD and Treasury bonds can be valuable components of a retirement income strategy, but they serve different purposes:
SCHD: Provides growing income over time as dividends increase, potentially outpacing inflation. Offers the possibility of capital appreciation but comes with market risk.
Treasury Bonds: Deliver secure, predictable income with virtually no default risk. Fixed payments can be advantageous for planning purposes but may lose purchasing power to inflation over time.
Many financial advisors recommend a balanced approach that includes both investments: Treasury bonds for stability and guaranteed income, and SCHD for growth potential and inflation protection.
During market downturns, these investments typically behave differently:
Treasury Bonds: Often exhibit "flight to safety" characteristics, with prices rising as investors seek safe havens during market turmoil. This counter-cyclical behavior can provide portfolio protection.
SCHD: Generally declines in value during market corrections, but typically less severely than growth-oriented investments due to its focus on quality dividend-paying companies with strong balance sheets.
For example, during the 2022 market downturn, while the broader market dropped significantly, SCHD fell less than the S&P 500. Meanwhile, Treasury bonds, while also under pressure from rising interest rates, provided more stability.
The ideal allocation between SCHD and Treasury bonds depends on your investment goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance. Here are some common allocation approaches:
As you approach retirement, consider gradually shifting more toward Treasury bonds to reduce volatility and secure predictable income. Use the calculator above to model different allocation scenarios and see how they affect both growth and income over your investment timeline.
SCHD and Treasury bonds have different tax treatments:
SCHD: Dividends are typically qualified dividends, taxed at lower capital gains rates (0%, 15%, or 20% depending on your tax bracket). Capital gains are realized only when shares are sold.
Treasury Bonds: Interest is fully taxable at the federal level but exempt from state and local taxes. This can be advantageous for investors in high-tax states.
For tax optimization:
Many investors find the optimal solution is not choosing between SCHD and Treasury bonds, but rather incorporating both in a balanced portfolio.
This provides diversification benefits, as these investments often respond differently to economic conditions and market events.
Use the calculator above to find the right mix that meets your financial goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon.
Project your future dividend income and portfolio growth with this SCHD dividend reinvestment calculator.
Compare the performance of SCHD against the S&P 500 index to see which might be better for your investment goals.
Calculate how your effective yield grows over time as SCHD increases its dividend payments year after year.