SCHD Tools

SCHD vs Treasury Bonds

Performance, Income & Risk Comparison Calculator

Home SCHD vs Treasury Bonds Performance Calculator

Calculator Inputs

10 years
1 year 30 years
$
$
8.0%
1% 15%
4.5%
1% 10%
3.9%
1% 10%
Reinvest Dividends/Interest
Adjust for Inflation

Investment Results

Final Balance Comparison

SCHD
$108,509
Treasury Bonds
$89,259

Annual Income Comparison

Annual income in the final year of investment period:

SCHD Annual Income
$4,232
Based on 3.9% yield on final balance
Treasury Bonds Annual Income
$4,017
Based on 4.5% fixed yield

Growth Comparison

Income Growth

What is SCHD?

SCHD (Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF) is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index. It focuses on high-quality, dividend-paying U.S. stocks with a history of consistently paying dividends.

Key characteristics of SCHD:

  • Higher dividend yield (currently 3.91%)
  • Focus on companies with strong dividend growth records
  • Low expense ratio (0.06%)
  • 100% qualified dividends (tax-efficient)
  • More concentrated portfolio (~100 holdings)
"SCHD represents a quality-focused approach to dividend investing, prioritizing companies with strong fundamentals and consistent dividend growth rather than just high current yield."

What are Treasury Bonds?

Treasury bonds are debt securities issued by the U.S. federal government with maturities ranging from 20 to 30 years. They pay a fixed rate of interest every six months until maturity, at which point the face value is returned to the bondholder.

Key characteristics of Treasury Bonds:

  • Extremely low risk (backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government)
  • Current yields around 4.48%-4.63% (10-30 year)
  • Fixed income payments
  • No default risk
  • Interest is exempt from state and local taxes
"Treasury bonds offer the highest security of principal and income available, making them an attractive option for risk-averse investors seeking stable returns."

Key Differences Between SCHD and Treasury Bonds

Feature SCHD Treasury Bonds
Investment Type Equity ETF (stocks) Government Debt Securities
Risk Level Moderate (market risk) Very Low (government backed)
Current Yield ~3.91% ~4.48% - 4.63% (10-30 year)
Income Growth Growing dividends over time Fixed interest payments
Principal Growth Potential for capital appreciation No capital appreciation (face value at maturity)
Volatility Moderate to high (market fluctuations) Low (price fluctuations if sold before maturity)
Taxation Qualified dividends (lower tax rates) Interest exempt from state/local taxes
Liquidity Highly liquid (trades like a stock) Moderate to high (can sell before maturity)
Expense Ratio 0.06% None (if purchased directly)
Inflation Protection Potential dividend growth above inflation None (fixed payments, vulnerable to inflation)

Frequently Asked Questions

Which has performed better historically - SCHD or Treasury Bonds?

Since SCHD's inception in October 2011, it has generally outperformed Treasury bonds in terms of total return. SCHD has delivered annualized returns of approximately 13.47%, while Treasury bonds have typically returned between 2-5% annually over the same period.

However, performance varies significantly depending on the time period and market conditions:

  • During equity bull markets, SCHD substantially outperforms Treasury bonds
  • During periods of economic uncertainty or market downturns, Treasury bonds often outperform SCHD
  • In rising interest rate environments, both may face challenges, but in different ways

Is SCHD or Treasury Bonds better for retirement income?

Both SCHD and Treasury bonds can be valuable components of a retirement income strategy, but they serve different purposes:

SCHD: Provides growing income over time as dividends increase, potentially outpacing inflation. Offers the possibility of capital appreciation but comes with market risk.

Treasury Bonds: Deliver secure, predictable income with virtually no default risk. Fixed payments can be advantageous for planning purposes but may lose purchasing power to inflation over time.

Many financial advisors recommend a balanced approach that includes both investments: Treasury bonds for stability and guaranteed income, and SCHD for growth potential and inflation protection.

How do SCHD and Treasury Bonds perform during market downturns?

During market downturns, these investments typically behave differently:

Treasury Bonds: Often exhibit "flight to safety" characteristics, with prices rising as investors seek safe havens during market turmoil. This counter-cyclical behavior can provide portfolio protection.

SCHD: Generally declines in value during market corrections, but typically less severely than growth-oriented investments due to its focus on quality dividend-paying companies with strong balance sheets.

For example, during the 2022 market downturn, while the broader market dropped significantly, SCHD fell less than the S&P 500. Meanwhile, Treasury bonds, while also under pressure from rising interest rates, provided more stability.

What's the ideal allocation between SCHD and Treasury Bonds?

The ideal allocation between SCHD and Treasury bonds depends on your investment goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance. Here are some common allocation approaches:

  • Conservative Approach: 30% SCHD / 70% Treasury Bonds - Prioritizes capital preservation and stable income
  • Balanced Approach: 50% SCHD / 50% Treasury Bonds - Provides moderate growth and income
  • Growth-Oriented Approach: 70% SCHD / 30% Treasury Bonds - Emphasizes long-term growth while maintaining some income stability

As you approach retirement, consider gradually shifting more toward Treasury bonds to reduce volatility and secure predictable income. Use the calculator above to model different allocation scenarios and see how they affect both growth and income over your investment timeline.

What are the tax implications of SCHD vs Treasury Bonds?

SCHD and Treasury bonds have different tax treatments:

SCHD: Dividends are typically qualified dividends, taxed at lower capital gains rates (0%, 15%, or 20% depending on your tax bracket). Capital gains are realized only when shares are sold.

Treasury Bonds: Interest is fully taxable at the federal level but exempt from state and local taxes. This can be advantageous for investors in high-tax states.

For tax optimization:

  • Consider holding SCHD in taxable accounts to benefit from qualified dividend treatment
  • Treasury bonds may be more efficient in tax-advantaged accounts like IRAs or 401(k)s if you're in a low-tax state
  • If you're in a high-tax state, the state tax exemption for Treasury bonds can be valuable in taxable accounts

Making the Right Choice for Your Portfolio

When SCHD May Be Better

  • You have a long investment time horizon (10+ years)
  • You're concerned about inflation eroding purchasing power
  • You're seeking both income and capital growth
  • You can tolerate moderate market volatility
  • You're in the wealth accumulation phase of your life
  • You want exposure to quality dividend-growing companies

When Treasury Bonds May Be Better

  • Capital preservation is your primary concern
  • You need predictable, guaranteed income
  • You're approaching or in retirement
  • You want to minimize portfolio volatility
  • The current interest rate environment is favorable
  • You're seeking to balance more aggressive investments

The Balanced Approach

Many investors find the optimal solution is not choosing between SCHD and Treasury bonds, but rather incorporating both in a balanced portfolio.

This provides diversification benefits, as these investments often respond differently to economic conditions and market events.

Use the calculator above to find the right mix that meets your financial goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon.

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