Year | Dividends | Capital Gains | Cumulative Return | % of Breakeven |
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This analysis shows how changes to key parameters affect your breakeven timeline. Use this to understand which factors have the greatest impact on your investment recovery time.
Each 1% increase in dividend yield reduces breakeven time by approximately 1.2 years in current scenario.
Dividend reinvestment reduces breakeven time by approximately 1.5 years in current scenario.
Breakeven analysis for dividend investments calculates how long it takes to recover your initial investment through a combination of dividend income and potential capital appreciation. For SCHD, this is particularly important because it combines both dividend income and growth characteristics.
The breakeven point is reached when:
Initial Investment = Cumulative Dividends + Capital Appreciation
For SCHD investors, understanding your breakeven timeline helps with risk assessment, investment planning, and setting realistic expectations for how long it will take to recover your principal.
SCHD's dividend yield (currently 3.91%) provides regular income that contributes to breaking even. With quarterly payments, this creates a steady recovery component.
SCHD has historically grown dividends by approximately 11.44% annually (5-year average), accelerating the recovery process as income increases over time.
Price growth of underlying SCHD shares contributes to reducing breakeven time. SCHD has shown long-term price appreciation alongside its dividend growth.
DRIPs significantly accelerate breakeven through compounding effects, allowing dividends to generate their own additional dividends.
Purchase Period | Avg. Breakeven Time | Dividend Contribution | Price Contribution | DRIP Impact |
---|---|---|---|---|
2011-2015 | 5.3 years | 38% | 62% | -1.2 years |
2016-2020 | 6.1 years | 42% | 58% | -1.4 years |
2021-2024 | 5.7 years | 45% | 55% | -1.5 years |
Market Corrections | 6.9 years | 63% | 37% | -2.1 years |
Bull Markets | 4.2 years | 31% | 69% | -0.9 years |
A higher initial yield accelerates breakeven through greater immediate income. A 1% increase in starting yield can reduce breakeven time by 1-1.5 years.
Higher dividend growth rates compound over time, accelerating breakeven. SCHD's historical growth rate of 11.44% significantly improves recovery time.
Capital appreciation typically provides 55-70% of breakeven value in normal market conditions, making it the largest contributor for many investors.
DRIP accelerates breakeven through compounding, typically reducing breakeven time by 15-30% depending on yield and growth rate.
Higher volatility can extend breakeven time during significant downturns, but also creates opportunities through higher yield entry points.
Tax-advantaged accounts (IRAs, 401k) improve breakeven time by eliminating dividend taxation. SCHD's qualified dividend status helps in taxable accounts.
Based on historical data since SCHD's inception in 2011, the average breakeven time has been approximately 5.5-6 years for investors who reinvest dividends. This varies based on market conditions and entry points:
SCHD's focus on quality dividend stocks with strong financial health has helped maintain relatively consistent breakeven timelines even during market turbulence, with dividends providing a significant stabilizing effect during downturns.
SCHD typically has a moderate breakeven timeline compared to other dividend ETFs, balancing growth and income:
ETF | Avg. Breakeven | Dividend Contribution | Notable Factor |
---|---|---|---|
SCHD | 5.5-6 years | 40-45% | Balanced income and growth |
VYM | 6-6.5 years | 35-40% | Lower dividend growth |
JEPI | 4-5 years | 70-80% | Higher yield, lower growth |
HDV | 6-7 years | 50-55% | Higher yield, slower growth |
DGRO | 7-8 years | 20-25% | Lower yield, higher growth |
SCHD's balance of current income and growth provides a middle-ground breakeven timeline. Higher yield ETFs like JEPI reach breakeven faster but often with less total return potential. Growth-oriented dividend ETFs like DGRO take longer to break even but may offer higher total returns over longer periods.
Dividend reinvestment significantly accelerates SCHD's breakeven timeline through several compounding effects:
For SCHD specifically, the combination of moderate yield (3.91%) and strong dividend growth (11.44% 5-year average) makes dividend reinvestment particularly effective. The longer your time horizon, the more dramatic the impact of DRIP becomes on your breakeven timeline.
In historical analysis, SCHD investors using DRIP during the 2015-2020 period broke even approximately 1.4 years faster than those taking dividends in cash.
Tax considerations can significantly impact SCHD's breakeven timeline:
For investors in higher tax brackets (32%+), the difference between holding SCHD in taxable versus tax-advantaged accounts can reduce breakeven time by 1-2 years. This makes account placement an important consideration in breakeven analysis.
While breakeven analysis provides valuable insight, it shouldn't be the only factor in SCHD investment decisions:
Breakeven analysis is most useful as one component of a broader investment evaluation process. It's particularly valuable for comparing similar investment options (like different dividend ETFs) or analyzing the impact of different entry points in the same investment.
For most long-term dividend investors, the quality of the underlying holdings and consistency of dividend growth often matter more than small differences in breakeven timeframes.
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