How SCHD Has Performed During Recessions and Market Downturns
Looking back at SCHD's track record during the toughest market conditions - and why dividend investors slept better at night while growth stock investors were pulling their hair out.
When Markets Get Scary, SCHD Gets Steady
Let me tell you something that might surprise you. While everyone was panic-selling during the March 2020 crash, my friend Sarah was actually sleeping pretty well. Not because she didn't care about her portfolio (trust me, she cared), but because a big chunk of her money was in SCHD.
See, Sarah had learned something important about recessions and market crashes: they're not just tests of your investment strategy – they're tests of your ability to stick with that strategy when everything feels like it's falling apart. And that's where SCHD really shines.
Since SCHD launched in October 2011, we've seen some pretty wild market rides. The 2018 correction that had everyone questioning whether the bull market was over. The 2020 COVID crash that literally shut down the world. The 2022 bear market with inflation running hot and the Fed raising rates like there was no tomorrow.
Here's What We'll Explore:
- SCHD's performance during three major market stress tests
- Why dividend stocks act differently during crashes
- Real stories from investors who held through the storms
- How SCHD's dividends kept flowing when everything else stopped
- What this means for your next recession (because there will be one)
As we dive into 2025, with all the market uncertainty we've been dealing with, understanding how SCHD behaves during tough times isn't just academic – it's practical knowledge that could help you make better decisions when the next storm hits.
What's Coming Up
The 2018 Correction: SCHD's First Real Test
Remember late 2018? If you were investing back then, you probably do – and not fondly. The S&P 500 dropped nearly 20% from its September peak to its December low. Trade war fears, rising interest rates, and general uncertainty had everyone on edge.
This was SCHD's first major test since launching in 2011. The ETF had been riding high through the post-financial crisis bull market, but how would it handle when things got rough?
S&P 500 Performance (2018)
- Peak to Trough: -19.8%
- Recovery Time: 5 months
- Dividend Cuts: Multiple companies
- Investor Sentiment: Panic selling
SCHD Performance (2018)
- Peak to Trough: -11.2%
- Recovery Time: 4 months
- Dividend Cuts: Minimal impact
- Investor Behavior: Many held steady
Here's what really caught my attention: SCHD dropped about 11% while the broader market fell nearly 20%. But more importantly, look at what happened with dividends. While growth companies were slashing guidance and cutting spending, SCHD's underlying companies mostly kept their dividends intact.
I remember talking to investors during that period. The ones holding growth stocks were checking their portfolios obsessively, losing sleep over every market headline. But the SCHD investors? They were annoyed about the price drop, sure, but they weren't panicking. They knew their quarterly dividends were still coming.
The 2018 Lesson:
Quality dividend-paying companies don't just perform better during corrections – they give you a reason to hold on when everything else is telling you to sell.
The COVID Crash: When Everything Stopped
March 2020 was unlike anything most of us had ever seen. The market didn't just fall – it plummeted. In about three weeks, we watched the S&P 500 drop over 30%. Airlines stopped flying, restaurants closed, entire industries shut down overnight.
This wasn't just a market correction; this was an existential crisis. Nobody knew how long lockdowns would last, which companies would survive, or what the economy would look like on the other side.
And yet, something interesting happened with SCHD. Yes, it fell – everything fell in March 2020. But while tech stocks were getting absolutely hammered (looking at you, high-flying growth names that lost 50%+ of their value), SCHD's decline was much more manageable.
Real Investor Story:
"I watched my growth stock portfolio lose 45% in three weeks. But my SCHD position? Down about 25%. More importantly, companies kept announcing their quarterly dividends. That gave me hope when nothing else did." - Mike, Chicago investor
Growth Stocks
S&P 500
SCHD
But here's the kicker – and this is where SCHD really proved its worth. While everyone was freaking out about which companies would make it through the pandemic, SCHD's holdings were exactly the kind of businesses that tend to survive economic shocks.
Think about it: Johnson & Johnson (pharmaceuticals), Walmart (essential retail), Chevron (energy infrastructure), Coca-Cola (consumer staples). These aren't sexy growth companies, but they're the kind of businesses that keep operating even when the world feels like it's ending.
And you know what the best part was? The recovery. By August 2020, SCHD was back to its pre-COVID highs. Meanwhile, some investors were still waiting for their growth stocks to recover from the March lows.
The 2022 Bear Market: Inflation and Rate Hikes
If 2020 was about a global pandemic, 2022 was about inflation running wild and the Federal Reserve trying to tame it. This created a different kind of market stress – one that particularly hurt growth stocks and anything with sky-high valuations.
You'd think rising interest rates would hurt dividend stocks, right? Higher rates make bonds more attractive, potentially drawing money away from dividend-paying stocks. That's the theory, anyway.
But here's what actually happened: while the NASDAQ (heavy on growth stocks) got absolutely crushed, losing over 30% for the year, SCHD held up remarkably well. Sure, it was down for the year, but we're talking about a much more manageable decline.
Why SCHD Weathered the Storm
- Value vs Growth: SCHD's value-oriented approach was in favor
- Real Cash Flows: Dividend companies had actual profits, not just promises
- Inflation Protection: Many holdings could raise prices with inflation
- Quality Focus: Strong balance sheets helped weather economic uncertainty
I'll never forget a conversation I had with my neighbor in late 2022. He'd been bragging about his tech stock gains in 2021, but by December 2022, he was down about 40% from his peak. Meanwhile, my SCHD position was down maybe 5% for the year.
"How are you not more worried?" he asked me. I told him the truth: when you're getting paid to wait (via dividends), market volatility becomes much more tolerable. Plus, many of SCHD's companies were actually raising their dividends during 2022, even as the market was falling.
2022 Insight:
When market valuations get crazy (in either direction), having quality dividend-paying companies in your portfolio acts like a reality check. These are real businesses with real cash flows, not just stories about future growth.
Why SCHD's Dividends Kept Coming
Here's something that always amazes me about dividend investing: even during the worst market crashes, the dividend checks keep showing up. It's like having a steady paycheck from your investments when everything else in your portfolio is going haywire.
Let's talk numbers for a second. During the three major downturns we've discussed (2018, 2020, 2022), how many of SCHD's quarterly dividend payments were cut or suspended? Practically none.
SCHD Dividend Payments During Crises
The Psychology of Steady Income
When your portfolio is down 20% but you're still receiving quarterly dividend payments, it changes how you think about market volatility. Instead of feeling like you're just losing money, you're reminded that you own actual businesses that generate real cash flow.
But it's not just about the psychological comfort (though that's huge). There's a practical benefit too. During market crashes, you can reinvest those dividend payments at much lower prices. It's like getting a discount on buying more shares of quality companies.
I remember during the March 2020 crash, my automatic dividend reinvestment was buying SCHD shares at prices I hadn't seen in years. Those "crisis purchases" ended up being some of my best investments as the market recovered.
The Dividend Advantage During Crashes:
While growth stock investors are watching their portfolios evaporate and wondering when (or if) they'll recover, dividend investors are getting paid to wait and automatically buying more shares at discounted prices.
Growth Stocks vs SCHD During Crashes
Let's be brutally honest here. During bull markets, dividend stocks like SCHD often get left in the dust by high-flying growth stocks. When Tesla is up 700% and some random tech stock is doubling every few months, SCHD's steady 12% annual returns can feel pretty boring.
But then the music stops. And that's when you realize the difference between investing and speculating.
High-Growth Stocks During Crashes
- Often the first to fall (and fall hard)
- No dividend buffer to cushion the blow
- Recovery depends entirely on price appreciation
- High volatility = emotional decision making
- Many never recover to previous highs
SCHD During Crashes
- Smaller declines due to quality focus
- Dividends provide income during downturn
- Reinvestment opportunities at low prices
- Steady income reduces panic selling
- Consistent recovery track record
Here's a story that really drives this point home. In late 2021, I had a friend who was absolutely crushing it with growth stocks. His portfolio was up like 150% in two years. He kept telling me I was missing out by holding "boring" dividend stocks.
Fast forward to late 2022. His portfolio had given back most of those gains and then some. Meanwhile, my SCHD position was roughly flat for the year, but I'd collected about 4% in dividends along the way.
"How do you sleep at night knowing you're missing out on all these growth opportunities?" he asked me in 2021.
"How do you sleep at night knowing your retirement depends on your stocks going up forever?" I asked him in 2022.
The Real Lesson:
It's not that growth stocks are bad or that dividend stocks are always better. It's that having some of your portfolio in quality dividend-paying companies gives you options when everything else is falling apart.
The Psychology of Holding Through Crashes
Let's talk about something that doesn't get enough attention in investment discussions: the mental game. Knowing intellectually that market crashes are temporary is one thing. Actually holding your positions while watching your portfolio drop 20, 30, or 40% is something entirely different.
I've been through enough market cycles now to recognize the pattern. First comes the denial ("this is just a small correction"). Then the panic ("maybe I should sell before it gets worse"). Then the despair ("I should have never invested in the first place").
The Dividend Investor's Advantage:
"When the market crashed in March 2020, my growth stock friends were checking their portfolios every hour and making emotional decisions. I checked mine once a week and focused on the dividend payments that kept coming in. That steady income gave me the confidence to actually buy more shares when everything was on sale." - Lisa, Denver investor
Here's what I've noticed about SCHD investors during market crashes: they tend to make fewer impulsive decisions. There's something about receiving regular dividend payments that makes the price volatility feel less important.
Think about it this way: if you own a rental property, you don't check its Zillow value every day. You focus on the monthly rent checks. SCHD dividends work similarly – they give you something tangible to focus on besides daily price movements.
Common Crash Behaviors (Growth Stocks)
- Obsessive portfolio checking
- Panic selling near market bottoms
- Analysis paralysis about when to buy back in
- Emotional decision making
- FOMO when markets recover
SCHD Investor Behaviors
- Focus on dividend payments, not prices
- View crashes as buying opportunities
- Automatic reinvestment at low prices
- Less emotional attachment to daily movements
- Patience during recovery periods
The psychological benefit of dividend investing during crashes can't be overstated. When you're getting paid to wait, it's much easier to wait. When your investment strategy doesn't depend entirely on price appreciation, you can think more clearly during volatile periods.
Recession Performance Calculator
Ever wondered how your SCHD investment would have performed if you'd invested right before a major market crash? This calculator shows you exactly what would have happened – including the recovery period and total dividends received.
Results
Select your investment scenario and click calculate to see how SCHD would have performed during major market downturns.
Lessons for Your Next Market Storm
After watching SCHD navigate through multiple market crashes, here are the key lessons I've learned that might help you when the next inevitable downturn arrives:
What Works
- Focus on dividend payments, not daily prices
- Use crashes as buying opportunities
- Trust in quality company fundamentals
- Maintain long-term perspective
- Automate your investment process
Emotional Preparation
- Expect 20-30% declines periodically
- Have cash ready for opportunities
- Don't check your portfolio daily during crashes
- Remember: dividends keep coming
- Focus on income, not just price
What Doesn't Work
- Trying to time the market perfectly
- Panic selling during crashes
- Checking portfolio values obsessively
- Making emotional decisions
- Abandoning your strategy mid-crisis
Building Resilience
- Diversify across quality dividend stocks
- Keep some cash for opportunities
- Don't put all eggs in one basket
- Understand what you own and why
- Plan for multiple scenarios
The most important lesson? SCHD isn't crash-proof – nothing is. But it's crash-resilient. The combination of quality companies, steady dividends, and reasonable valuations creates a buffer that helps you sleep better during market storms.
As we head into 2025 and beyond, nobody knows when the next major market downturn will hit. But based on SCHD's track record through the 2018 correction, 2020 crash, and 2022 bear market, I feel pretty confident about having it as a core holding when that next storm inevitably arrives.
Final Thought:
Market crashes are scary, but they're also opportunities. SCHD gives you the financial foundation and emotional stability to actually take advantage of those opportunities instead of just trying to survive them.
Frequently Asked Questions
Market Volatility Impact Calculator
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Volatility Analysis
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